Archives from month » November, 2009

EE Global is this week

April 27, 2009
The Energy Efficiency Global Forum & Exposition is taking place this week in Paris, France. Is anybody at the meeting? If so, I would LOVE to have a guest blog post from you about what you’ve seen/heard and what thoughts and discussions may have transpired there. Please leave a comment or contact me so we can get you on here! You can make your post(s) as short or as long as you like. Well, not too long…. but, you know.


Energy feature in May-June American Scientist

April 27, 2009
The May-June issue of American Scientist includes a feature on energy! Subscribers and Sigma Xi members can read the full article, “Revisiting the Limits to Growth After Peak Oil.”

In the article, ecologists Charles A. S. Hall and John W. Day, Jr., worry that attention to peak oil and resource limitation faded after the energy crisis of the 1970’s. “Those who advocated for resource constraints were essentially discredited and even humiliated,” they write. What’s more, “there is a common perception, even among knowledgeable environmental scientists, that the limits-to-growth model was a colossal failure…”

Read more »


Overview of World Energy

April 20, 2009
To gain some persepctive on the energy crisis, we’ve compiled a few statistics and graphs. I’d love to see some discussion and comments here… And if there are data you’d like to see represented in this overview, please contact us with a reference or use the comment form on this blog. (Comments aren’t visible from the front page of the blog, but if you click on the headline of a particular post, that view will allow you to comment.)
I’ll update the version of this presentation on the home page as needed, based on what comes up here…

Total world energy consumption from 1965-2007, and projected increase to 2030. This plot shows only marketed primary energy—that is, commercially traded energy in its crudest form, such as coal, crude oil, or electricity from solar panels, wind turbines, or dams. Biomass (e.g. wood, peat) is not fully represented, since it is often collected for use by individuals rather than traded commercially. Source: 1965-1979: BP Statistical Review of World Energy (2008) (excludes wind, geothermal and solar energy); 1980-2030: U.S. Energy Information Administration International Energy Outlook (2008) (includes renewables).

Global demand for energy continues to grow. In 2007 alone, global energy consumption grew by 2.4%1, and analysts predict a further 50% increase from 2005 to 20302.
This plot shows only marketed primary energy—that is, commercially traded energy in its crudest form, such as coal, crude oil, or electricity from solar panels, wind turbines, or dams. Biomass (e.g. wood, peat) is not fully represented, since it is often collected for use by individuals rather than traded commercially. Source: 1965-1979 (1) (excludes wind, geothermal and solar energy); 1980-2030 (2) (includes renewables).




Total world energy consumption partitioned between OECD and Non-OECD countries. Source: 1965-1979: BP Statistical Review of World Energy; 1980-2030: U.S. Energy Information Administration International Energy Outlook.

Although developed countries currently consume the most energy, demand is growing fastest in less developed countries-- those that are not members of the Organization for Economica Co-operation and Development (OECD).
Source: 1965-1979: (1); 1980-2030: (2).




Total world energy demand showing contribution of OECD member countries and regions. Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy.

Among OECD member countries, those in North America have the greatest demand for energy.
Source: (1).



Total world energy demand showing contribution of Non-OECD countries and regions. Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy.

Among developing nations, China and India have the fastest growing economies. The energy demands of these two countries together increased from 8% to 18% of the global total from 1980 to 2005. By 2030, China and India are projected to use 25% of the world’s energy budget2.
Source: (2).




World population from 1965 to present, with projections to 2030. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

One factor contributing to increased energy demand is, of course, world population growth.
Source: (3).



World population partitioned between OECD and non-OECD countries. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OECD.

Population is growing fastest in developing countries.
Source: (3), (4).




Per capita energy consumption in OECD and non-OECD countries. Source: Calculated based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the OECD, and the B.P. Statistical Review of World Energy.

With both population growth and economic growth comes increased energy demand. Per capita energy use is increasing in developing countries-- but still lags far behind that in OECD countries. Thus, even though developed countries house less than 20% of the world's population, they use about half the world's energy budget. In fact, they are responsible for an even greater percentage, if one takes into account energy used in developing countries to produce goods exported to developed countries 10.
Source: Calculated based on (1), (3) and (4).



World energy consumption by fuel type Source: 1965-1979: BP Statistical Review of World Energy (2008) (excludes wind, geothermal and solar energy); 1980-2030: U.S. Energy Information Administration International Energy Outlook (2008).

Petroleum is the world's number one source of energy, with oil accounting for more than 1/3 of total energy consumed. Coal is second, providing more than 1/4 of the world's energy, and has been the fastest growing energy source for the past five years1. This is despite global investment in renewables: In 2007, there was a 30% increase in spending on construction of renewable energy facilities, for a total of $71 billion1. Nevertheless, renewables currently provide less than 10% of the world's energy, and subsidies for renewables pael in comparison to those for conventional energy sources. As of 2004, world governments provided $20 billion per year in subsidies for renewable energies, compared to $250 billion for other sources5.
Source: 1965-1979: (1) (excludes wind, geothermal and solar energy); 1980-2030: (2).



Varying projections for future oil production (including natural gas liquids). Sources: top projection: U.S. Energy Information Administration; middle projection: International Energy Agency (World Energy Outlook 2008); bottom projection: Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas Newsletter June, 2008.

Although petroleum is central to the world's current energy economy, supplies are dwindling. Some projections, based mainly on market demand, show ever-increasing oil usage. But in reality, supplies are not unlimited, and some projections highlight the need to develop alternative sources as oil becomes ever more difficult to extract.
Sources: top projection: (2); middle projection: (6); bottom projection: (7).



Contribution of various anthropogenic greenhouse gases to global warming. Source: (8).

Not only are oil and other fossil fuels non-renewable, they contribute to another of the world's scary problems: climate change. Fossil fuel combustion accounts for 62% of the global warming potential of all anthropogenic greenhouse gases.
Source: (8).



Source: (9).

How to solve the energy crisis? The transition from fossil fuel dependency probably won't be easy. But data suggest that it is indeed possible. Even with existing technologies, renewable energy sources have the potential to exceed current global energy demands.
Source: (9).



But it hasn’t happened yet. That’s why we need Sigma Xi’s science and engineering experts to contribute their expertise toward the massive task of solving the energy problem. This is your space to think about solutions, comment on energy news and developments, and contribute your perspective. Please explore the site and be generous with your ideas.


Sources:
1. BP, Statistical Review of World Energy, 2008
2. U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook, 2008
3. U.S. Census Bureau
4. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, OECD Factbook 2009: Economic, Environmental and Social Statistics
5. United Nations, World Energy Assessment, 2004
6. International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook, 2008
7. Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, Newsletter ,June, 2008
8. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Fourth Assessment Report, 2007, Working Group III, Chapter 1, p 103
9. The Potentials of Renewable Energy, 2004
10. Rich Countries’ Invisible Emissions, 2009


Please contribute to our blog!

April 17, 2009
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